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Hurricane center says Gulf system has small chance to develop

Richard Tribou, Orlando Sentinel on

Published in News & Features

The National Hurricane Center continued Thursday to track a low pressure system that had moved into the Gulf after passing over Florida that could develop into the season’s next tropical depression or storm.

As of the NHC’s 2 p.m. Eastern time tropical advisory, the trough of low pressure had made it into the north-central Gulf with a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

“Over the next day or two, this system is forecast to move generally westward across the north-central portion of the Gulf where some slow development is possible,” forecasters said. “By this weekend, the system is likely to move inland, ending its chances for development.”

The NHC gives it a 10% chance to develop in the next two days and 10% in the next seven.

If it were to become a named storm, it could become Tropical Storm Dexter.

“Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, locally heavy rainfall is possible for portions of the northern Gulf coast through this weekend,” forecasters said.

 

Before the start of hurricane season, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration had forecast an expected 13 to 19 named storms for the year, of which 6 to 10 would grow into hurricanes. Three to five of those would develop into major hurricanes of Category 3 strength or higher.

So far the season has seen three named systems, all tropical storms.

Researchers out of Colorado State University this month, though, updated their forecast saying they expect the season to be slightly less busy than what they had predicted earlier this year.

Hurricane season runs June 1 to Nov. 30.

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